Stock Market & Economic Analysis - Unbiased, Objective, and Slightly Rebellious

Jul
02

Bank Failure – Rock River Bank

By Chuck ·5:44 p.m. today · Comments (0)

FDIC is busy today:

Rock River Bank, Oregon, Illinois, was closed today by the Illinois Department of Financial and Professional Regulation, Division of Banking, which appointed the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC) as receiver. To protect the depositors, the FDIC entered into a purchase and assumption agreement with The Harvard State Bank, Harvard, Illinois, to assume all of the deposits of Rock River Bank.

The four offices of Rock River Bank will reopen on Monday as branches of The Harvard State Bank. Depositors of Rock River Bank will automatically become depositors of The Harvard State Bank. Deposits will continue to be insured by the FDIC, so there is no need for customers to change their banking relationship to retain their deposit insurance coverage. Customers should continue to use their existing branches until The Harvard State Bank can fully integrate the deposit records of Rock River Bank.

Over the weekend, depositors of Rock River Bank can access their money by writing checks or using ATM or debit cards. Checks drawn on the bank will continue to be processed. Loan customers should continue to make their payments as usual.

As of April 30, 2009, Rock River Bank had total assets of $77 million and total deposits of approximately $75.8 million. The Harvard State Bank paid a premium of 2.0 percent to acquire all of the deposits of the failed bank. In addition to assuming all of the deposits of the failed bank, The Harvard State Bank agreed to purchase approximately $72.9 million of assets. The FDIC will retain the remaining assets for later disposition.

The FDIC and The Harvard State Bank entered into a loss-share transaction on approximately $51.3 million of Rock River Bank’s assets. The Harvard State Bank will share in the losses on the asset pools covered under the loss-share agreement. The loss-sharing arrangement is projected to maximize returns on the assets covered by keeping them in the private sector. The agreement also is expected to minimize disruptions for loan customers.

Customers who have questions about today’s transaction can call the FDIC toll-free at 1-800-591-2903. The phone number will be operational this evening until 9:00 p.m., Central Daylight Time (CDT); on Friday and Saturday from 9:00 a.m. to 6:00 p.m., CDT; on Sunday from noon to 6:00 p.m., CDT; and thereafter from 8:00 a.m. to 8:00 p.m., CDT. Interested parties can also visit the FDIC’s Web site at http://www.fdic.gov/bank/individual/failed/rockriver.html.

The FDIC estimates that the cost to the Deposit Insurance Fund (DIF) will be $27.6 million. The Harvard State Bank’s acquisition of all the deposits was the “least costly” resolution for the FDIC’s DIF compared to alternatives. Rock River Bank is the 48th FDIC-insured institution to fail in the nation this year, and the ninth in Illinois. The last FDIC-insured institution to be closed in the state was The First State Bank of Winchester, earlier today.




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Jul
02

Bank Failure – First State Bank Of Winchester, IL

By Chuck ·5 p.m. today · Comments (0)

The First State Bank of Winchester, Winchester, Illinois, was closed today by the Illinois Department of Financial and Professional Regulation, Division of Banking, which appointed the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC) as receiver. To protect the depositors, the FDIC entered into a purchase and assumption agreement with The First National Bank of Beardstown, Beardstown, Illinois, to assume all of the deposits of The First State Bank of Winchester.

The two offices of The First State Bank of Winchester will reopen on Monday as branches of The First National Bank of Beardstown. Depositors of The First State Bank of Winchester will automatically become depositors of The First National Bank of Beardstown. Deposits will continue to be insured by the FDIC, so there is no need for customers to change their banking relationship to retain their deposit insurance coverage. Customers should continue to use their existing branches until The First National Bank of Beardstown can fully integrate the deposit records of The First State Bank of Winchester.

Over the weekend, depositors of The First State Bank of Winchester can access their money by writing checks or using ATM or debit cards. Checks drawn on the bank will continue to be processed. Loan customers should continue to make their payments as usual.

As of April 30, 2009, The First State Bank of Winchester had total assets of $36 million and total deposits of approximately $34 million. The First National Bank of Beardstown paid a premium of 2.0 percent to acquire all of the deposits of the failed bank. In addition to assuming all of the deposits of the failed bank, The First National Bank of Beardstown agreed to purchase approximately $33 million of assets. The FDIC will retain the remaining assets for later disposition.

The FDIC and The First National Bank of Beardstown entered into a loss-share transaction on approximately $20 million of The First State Bank of Winchester’s assets. The First National Bank of Beardstown will share in the losses on the asset pools covered under the loss-share agreement. The loss-sharing arrangement is projected to maximize returns on the assets covered by keeping them in the private sector. The agreement also is expected to minimize disruptions for loan customers.

Customers who have questions about today’s transaction can call the FDIC toll-free at 1-800-331-6306. The phone number will be operational this evening until 9:00 p.m., Central Daylight Time (CDT); on Friday and Saturday from 9:00 a.m. to 6:00 p.m., CDT; on Sunday from noon to 6:00 p.m., CDT; and thereafter from 8:00 a.m. to 8:00 p.m., CDT. Interested parties can also visit the FDIC’s Web site at http://www.fdic.gov/bank/individual/failed/winchester.html.

The FDIC estimates that the cost to the Deposit Insurance Fund (DIF) will be $6 million. The First National Bank of Beardstown’s acquisition of all the deposits was the “least costly” resolution for the FDIC’s DIF compared to alternatives. The First State Bank of Winchester is the 47th FDIC-insured institution to fail in the nation this year, and the eighth in Illinois. The last FDIC-insured institution to be closed in the state was The John Warner Bank, earlier today.

Source: FDIC




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Jul
02

Federal Balance Sheet – July 2

By Chuck ·4:45 p.m. today · Comments (0)

July 2, 2009 data:

Fed balance sheet assets $1.99T v $2.03T prior

M2 $300M v $15.7B prior

M1 $12.5B v $25.8B prior
- Fed holdings of Treasuries +$10.3B to $663.5B
- Fed commercial paper holdings -$9.5B to $111.1B
- Fed credit to AIG $83.4B from $82.7B
- Fed loans to securities dealers remain at zero for 8th week.
- Fed asset-backed commercial paper loans -$669M to $14.8B
- Fed central bank currency swaps -$4.8B to $114.6B
- Fed agency securities holdings +$1.2B to $97.8B
- Fed’s mortgage-backed assets -$4.8B to $462.4B
- TALF $25B v $25.2B prior

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Jul
02

Bank Failure – John Warner Bank

By Chuck ·4:29 p.m. today · Comments (0)

john warner bank logoThe John Warner Bank, Clinton, Illinois, was closed today by the Illinois Department of Financial and Professional Regulation, Division of Banking, which appointed the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC) as receiver. To protect the depositors, the FDIC entered into a purchase and assumption agreement with State Bank of Lincoln, Lincoln, Illinois, to assume all of the deposits of The John Warner Bank.

The three offices of The John Warner Bank will reopen on Friday as branches of State Bank of Lincoln. Depositors of The John Warner Bank will automatically become depositors of State Bank of Lincoln. Deposits will continue to be insured by the FDIC, so there is no need for customers to change their banking relationship to retain their deposit insurance coverage. Customers should continue to use their existing branches until State Bank of Lincoln can fully integrate the deposit records of The John Warner Bank. Depositors of The John Warner Bank can access their money by writing checks or using ATM or debit cards. Checks drawn on the bank will continue to be processed. Loan customers should continue to make their payments as usual.

As of April 30, 2009, The John Warner Bank had total assets of $70 million and total deposits of approximately $64 million. State Bank of Lincoln paid a premium of 4.1 percent to acquire all of the deposits of the failed bank. In addition to assuming all of the deposits of the failed bank, State Bank of Lincoln agreed to purchase approximately $63 million of assets. The FDIC will retain the remaining assets for later disposition.

The FDIC and State Bank of Lincoln entered into a loss-share transaction on approximately $31 million of The John Warner Bank’s assets. State Bank of Lincoln will share in the losses on the asset pools covered under the loss-share agreement. The loss-sharing arrangement is projected to maximize returns on the assets covered by keeping them in the private sector. The agreement also is expected to minimize disruptions for loan customers.

Customers who have questions about today’s transaction can call the FDIC toll-free at 1-800-837-0215. The phone number will be operational this evening until 9:00 p.m., Central Daylight Time (CDT); on Friday and Saturday from 9:00 a.m. to 6:00 p.m., CDT; on Sunday from noon to 6:00 p.m., CDT; and thereafter from 8:00 a.m. to 8:00 p.m., CDT. Interested parties can also visit the FDIC’s Web site at http://www.fdic.gov/bank/individual/failed/warner.html.

The FDIC estimates that the cost to the Deposit Insurance Fund (DIF) will be $10 million. State Bank of Lincoln’s acquisition of all the deposits was the “least costly” resolution for the FDIC’s DIF compared to alternatives. The John Warner Bank is the 46th FDIC-insured institution to fail in the nation this year, and the seventh in Illinois. The last FDIC-insured institution to be closed in the state was Bank of Lincolnwood, Lincolnwood, on June 5, 2009.

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Jul
02

It’s IOU For California Contractors And Residents

By Chuck ·3:35 p.m. today · Comments (1)

California is now in crisis mode with little cash on hand. Contractors and individuals who are still waiting for tax refunds will instead an IOU.

Update: The following chart from reuters

california IOU chart

With budget negotiators at loggerheads and California government facing a cash crisis, the state controller’s office will start printing IOUs this afternoon for the first time in 17 years.

The presses are set to start at 2 p.m., churning out 28,742 IOUs worth $53.3 million that will be dispatched mostly to residents throughout the state still awaiting their income-tax refunds.

State finance officials set the interest rate at 3.75% for banks that accept the vouchers. Nearly 29,000 IOUsth $53.3 million will be sent, mostly to residents awaiting tax refunds. wor

Reporting from Sacramento — With budget negotiators at loggerheads and California government facing a cash crisis, the state controller’s office will start printing IOUs this afternoon for the first time in 17 years.The presses are set to start at 2 p.m., churning out 28,742 IOUs worth $53.3 million that will be dispatched mostly to residents throughout the state still awaiting their income-tax refunds.

A panel of state finance officials this morning set the interest rate for the IOUs at 3.75% for banks and other financial institutions that are willing to accept the scrip. Some banks have already agreed to honor the paper, including Bank of America and Wells Fargo, which will do so until July 10. Some have not made a decision. Recipients who don’t have a bank that will cash them can redeem them Oct. 2.Wells Fargo’s agreement came with a nudge. “We are reluctant to take this step, but are doing so to help our customers who are not at fault and with the expectation that the Legislature and governor will complete the budget within days,” Lisa Stevens, a bank official in California, said in a statement.

The state’s three-member finance panel voted 2-1 to set the interest rate, with the governor’s representative on the board objecting, proposing instead a 1.5% rate, with a redemption date of June 2010.[...] (source: LA Times)

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Jul
02

Ireland Sovereign Rating Gets Downgraded

By Chuck ·9:13 a.m. today · Comments (0)

Breaking News…

Moody’s cuts Ireland’s sovereign rating by one notch to Aa1 from Aaa; Outlook Negative

Rationale behind the downgrade stems from three key drivers of our credit analysis regarding debt: affordability, finance-ability and reversibility — which for Ireland are weakened as compared to Aaa peers.

Negative outlook reflects the risk of a further gradual deterioration in terms both of debt affordability — the share of government revenues used for interest payments — and finance-ability — the cost at which Ireland can raise further debt.

Moreover, Ireland’’s ability to reverse the negative debt dynamics in a non-supportive global environment will be tested. Debt dynamics will remain unfavourable for several years, and, in Moody’’s opinion, downside risks outweigh upside risks in the near to medium term. The pronounced weakness in the economic activity has been translating into a severe deterioration of Ireland’’s public finances, and the country is set to emerge from the current economic crisis with a considerably higher debt burden for the foreseeable future (Source: Moody’s)

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Jul
02

Unemploymnet Data for June

By Chuck ·8:46 a.m. today · Comments (0)

JUNE CHANGE IN NONFARM PAYROLLS:  -467,000

JUNE UNEMPLOYMENT RATE:  9.5%

INITIAL JOBLESS CLAIMS: 614,000

CONTINUING CLAIMS: 6,702,000

U-6 UNEMPLOYMENT RATE FOR JUNE: 16.8%

THE EMPLOYMENT SITUATION: JUNE 2009

Nonfarm payroll employment continued to decline in June (-467,000),

and the unemployment rate was little changed at 9.5 percent, the Bureau

of Labor Statistics of the U.S. Department of Labor reported today.

Job losses were widespread across the major industry sectors, with

large declines occurring in manufacturing, professional and business

services, and construction.

Unemployment (Household Survey Data)

The number of unemployed persons (14.7 million) and the unemployment

rate (9.5 percent) were little changed in June. Since the start of the

recession in December 2007, the number of unemployed persons has increas-

ed by 7.2 million, and the unemployment rate has risen by 4.6 percentage

points.

In June, unemployment rates for the major worker groups–adult men

(10.0 percent), adult women (7.6 percent), teenagers (24.0 percent),

whites (8.7 percent), blacks (14.7 percent), and Hispanics (12.2 per-

cent)–showed little change. The unemployment rate for Asians was

8.2 percent, not seasonally adjusted.

Among the unemployed, the number of job losers and persons who com-

pleted temporary jobs (9.6 million) was little changed in June after

increasing by an average of 615,000 per month during the first 5 months

of this year.

The number of long-term unemployed (those jobless for 27 weeks or

more) increased by 433,000 over the month to 4.4 million. In June, 3

in 10 unemployed persons were jobless for 27 weeks or more.

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Jul
01

Market Wrap – July 1, 2009

By Chuck ·11:22 p.m. July 1 · Comments (5)

Thursday Schedule

7:45am ECB rate decision
8:30am June Nonfarm Payrolls (last -345K), Unemployment Rate (last 9.4%), Manufacturing Payrolls (last -156K), Average Hourly Earnings (last m/m 0.1%, y/y 3.1%), May Factory Orders (last 0.7%), Initial Jobless Claims (last 627K), Continuing Claims (last 6.738M)
10:00am May Factory Orders (last 0.7%)
10:30am Natural Gas Inventories
11:00am Treasury note announcements
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Jul
01

California Crisis – The Clock Is Ticking

By Chuck ·8:18 p.m. July 1 · Comments (0)

Governor Arnold Schwarzenegger issued a fiscal emergency earlier today and gave the state lawmakers one more chance to reach an agreement on a workable budget. Even if the state is able to reach a budget agreement by midnight tonight it will still mean significant cuts in state services and/or tax increases for California residents.

Failure to reach a budget agreement will result in California having to pay contractors and citizens with IOU’s.

Gov. Arnold Schwarzenegger this morning ordered state workers to take a third day off without pay each month after Republican lawmakers acting with his support blocked a Democratic proposal to ease the state’s deficit and allow the government to keep paying bills.

The Republican governor unveiled billions of dollars in additional proposed cuts to schools and public universities to deal with a deficit that he says is now $26.3 billion, an increase of $2 billion. He also announced an emergency special session of the Legislature that would allow lawmakers to act on them immediately. [...]

[...]If lawmakers and the governor do not agree on a plan to wipe out the deficit — or at least part of it — by the end of today, State Controller John Chiang will begin giving out IOUs in lieu of checks to pay debts owed by the state.

“We have one more day,” Senate President Pro Tem Darrell Steinberg (D-Sacramento) said as his house prepared to convene again.[...]

[...]Thousands of state workers, on whom the governor imposed a third unpaid day off every month, were preparing to show up outside the Capitol today to protest, according to the Service Employees International Union, which represents them. The new furloughs would begin on July 10, the administration said.[...]

[...]Meanwhile, Chiang, who acts as the state’s banker, has scheduled a Thursday morning meeting of a state board that will determine what interest rate the state will pay on the $3 billion a month in IOUs it will begin issuing to contractors and some of California’s neediest citizens, including the elderly, the disabled and the poor.

California last issued IOUs in 1992. Doing so again could have serious repercussions. According to Treasurer Bill Lockyer, the decline in the state’s credit rating that is likely to follow IOUs — as it did 17 years ago — would cost the state $3.4 billion in higher interest rates over 30 years, adjusted for inflation.

Wall Street rating agencies have already warned that they are weighing downgrades to the state’s credit, which would probably take years to recover, Lockyer’s aides said.

So far, no banks have formally committed to honoring the IOUs, said Chiang’s spokeswoman, Hallye Jordan. At least one financial institution, the Golden 1 Credit Union, said Tuesday that it plans to accept the state’s IOUs from its 710,000 members, some of whom are state contractors.[...] (Source: LA Times)

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Jul
01

Lear To File For Bankruptcy

By Chuck ·7:48 p.m. July 1 · Comments (0)

The maker of auto seats and other electronics for vehicles announced they plan to file for chapter 11 protection ’shortly’.

LearLogo

A filing would add evidence that even the sector’s largest suppliers are feeling the squeeze from auto plant shutdowns, the continued slump in demand for products and tight credit markets. Bankruptcies threaten to increase product-flow disruptions that could shut assembly plants and drain cash from auto makers who may be tapped to provide bankruptcy financing.

Lear received commitments from a syndicate of secured lenders, led by J.P. Morgan and Citigroup Inc., for $500 million in new debtor-in-possession financing. That financing will convert into exit financing with a three-year term upon Lear’s emergence from bankruptcy protection.

The company’s units outside the U.S. and Canada won’t be part of the bankruptcy filing. It said those operations are well-capitalized, well-positioned and have a strong backlog of new business.

Lear would be the eighth major supplier to seek Chapter 11 since 2005 and the third parts maker to file in the past month. Visteon Corp. and Metaldyne Corp. entered bankruptcy May 28

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Jul
01

GMGMQ – General Motors Investors In Danger

By Chuck ·7:30 p.m. July 1 · Comments (0)

The former GM stock symbol became GMGMQ and was moved to the ‘pink sheets’ upon their bankruptcy filing. It amazes me that there are still people buying this shell of a stock thinking they are going to ‘make a killing’. It is a shame that there are many people out there in the world who are being misled by ’stock pumpers’ that appear all over the Internet.

Some people even think the Government will rescue the common shareholders and give them something.

Folks, this is all nonsense, if you are currently holding ‘long’ positions in the bankrupt stock symbol GMGMQ.PK then you are at risk of losing every dollar without any advance notice. General Motors themselves have issued statements to people buying shares of the bankrupt stock, trying to warn them that their money is in danger:

GM management has noticed the continuing high trading volume in GM’s common stock at prices in excess of $1. GM management continues to remind investors of its strong belief that there will be no value for the common stockholders in the bankruptcy liquidation process, even under the most optimistic of scenarios.

gmgmq stock chartThis is the second time that GM management has alerted the investor community that the common stock will have no value when the judge puts the gavel down and declares the process completed. Yet people continue to buy up shares thinking they will still make a fortune. And the advice they are getting from stock trading message boards is utterly ridiculous and sad.

This afternoon when GM announced its second warning to common share holders the stock dropped very quickly, but only moments later the fools were back in there buying it right back up.

One only has to look at the type of crap that is on the Internet to see why so many people lose so much of their money. How sad and pathetic that some people actually ‘beleive’ this stuff:

(disclosure: NO position whatsoever in GMGMQ, bonds, or other GM related holdings)

(click image for larger view)

gmgmq crap

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Jul
01

Newspaper Industry Continues To Suffer

By Chuck ·12:13 a.m. July 1 · Comments (0)

Gannett, the largest newspaper publisher in the United States is poised to cut up to an additional 2,000 jobs from its work force as revenues continue to decline.

The cuts will come from the U.S. Community Publishing division, which consists of Gannett’s more than 80 local dailies, the person said, and won’t affect the company’s flagship, USA Today. The exact number of jobs to be cut wasn’t clear. The cuts will be disclosed in the next few days.

Gannett, which like most newspaper publishers is suffering from steep advertising declines, cut about 10% of its work force last year. The company was expected to make additional cuts after a dismal first quarter, when net income fell nearly 60% from a year earlier as publishing ad revenue declined more than 34%. [...] (source: WSJ)

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Jul
01

Market Wrap – June 30, 2009

By Chuck ·12:02 a.m. July 1 · Comments (3)

Note: The video below says “June 29″. This is an oversight, the video is for June 30th

Wednesday Schedule:

MBA Mortgage Applications (7:00, last 6.6%)
7:30am June Challenger Job Cuts y/y (last 7.4%)
8:15am June ADP Employment Change (last -532K)
10:00am June ISM Manufacturing (last 42.8), June ISM Prices Paid (last 43.5), May Construction Spending m/m (last 0.8%), May Pending Home Sales (last m/m 6.7%, y/y 3.3%)
10:30am DoE Crude Oil/Gasoline/Distillate Inventories
11:15am Fed’s Evans speaks about the credit crunch in London
June vehicle sales throughout the day.

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Jun
30

RebelTraders- Housekeeping Note

By Chuck ·11:42 p.m. June 30 · Comments (0)

I have been made aware that the ‘RSS Feed’ that gets spooled throughout the day and then sent out as an email to subscribers has stopped functioning properly. I am looking into the problem which is likely with feedburner.google (that is the service I use to send the daily emails).

Thank you for your patience and hopefully I will have the daily email summaries functioning shortly.

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Jun
30

Toyota Gets Downgraded By Fitch

By Chuck ·10:43 p.m. June 30 · Comments (0)

I had thought that Toyota would be able to hold on to their higher tier ratings, but tonight Fitch Ratings Service issued a blow to the Japanese auto giant.

Toyota Motor Corp

Fitch cuts long-term foreign and local currency issuer default ratings and senior unsecured debt ratings by 2 notches to A+ from AA; Outlook Negative

At the same time, the agency has affirmed Toyota’’s Short-term foreign and local currency IDRs at ”F1+”. According to Fitch, fundamentals in the automobile industry are likely to remain weak in the medium-term, making it difficult for automakers to regain levels of profitability reached in the easy-credit-fuelled boom which came to an end in Q408.

Although Toyota remains the strongest player in the industry, its recent operating performance, strategic decision-making and management reaction to the crisis have been less impressive than its peers; in contrast, Honda (”A”/Negative) has benefited from its focus on smaller cars and motorcycles while taking swifter action to cut costs, leading the agency to assess that the difference in credit quality between the two companies has lessened.

The agency believes it may take several years for Toyota to approach previous levels of profitability, unless it takes swift actions to reduce costs and restructure its production facilities and product portfolio.

Fitch considers that the auto industry can no longer support a rating in the ”AA” category.

Additional risks include the potential disruption to the supply chain in the US following the bankruptcy of GM/Chrysler.

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Jun
30

California Home Sales – Oops!

By Chuck ·4:41 p.m. June 30 · Comments (0)

Recent reports in the media have been jumping at statistics provided by the Realtors Association in California that showed home sales were improving ’significantly’.

But, today the California Association of Realtors disclosed they made a mistake. The numbers they reported for home sales in the San Diego area were sharply ‘overstated’.

The California Association of Realtors expects to make sharp downward revisions in its recent monthly reports of soaring home sales in the San Diego area, Robert Kleinhenz, deputy chief economist of the trade group, said in an interview.

The revisions are likely to be announced in late July, when
the Realtor group reports home sales for June.  The problem resulted from a glitch in data from a multiple-listing service in San Diego, Mr. Kleinhenz said. He said a change in computer systems used there resulted in incorrect data being sent to the Realtor association over the past year or so.[...]

The California Realtors have reported that San Diego sales in April were up about 63% from a year earlier. Mr. Kleinhenz said that is expected to be revised downward to a gain of about 20%. For May, the group reported an 89% increase in sales in San Diego; that will be slashed to about 6.5%, the economist said.[...] (WSJ)

I still argue that many of the homes being purchased in California (and in other states) are foreclosure properties, and this is distorting the ‘organic‘ sales figures drastically . Let us not forget the shadow inventory of homes that has yet to appear on the market as banks and other financial institutions are holding back on dumping homes onto the market place.

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Jun
30

Goldman Sachs & Matt Taibbi

By Chuck ·2:04 p.m. June 30 · Comments (1)

An article appearing in Rolling Stone magazine is rising eyebrows at Goldman Sachs. The unfortunate aspect of the article is that it appears in Rolling Stone and the mainstream media is not giving enough credit to the author, Matt Taibbi.

Personally, I have followed the writings of Matt Taibbi and I find him to be a great reporter and very knowledgeable. The contents of Matt’s article on Goldman Sachs is clearly something that the main stream media would not dare discuss, so it is up to the ‘off main street’ media to have the guts to publish it.

I thank Matt for his article and a ‘thumbs up’ to Rolling Stone for the courage to go against the main stream media of ‘hands off’ when it comes to Goldman Sachs.

Good job Matt.

THE From tech stocks to high gas prices, Goldman Sachs has engineered every major market manipulation since the Great Depression — and they’re about to do it again -~&~- By MATT TAIBBI fiE FIRST THING YOU NEED TO KNOW about Goldman Sachs is that it’s everywhere. The world’s most powerful investment bank is a great vampire squid wrapped around the face of humanity, relentlessly jamming its blood funnel into anything that smells li~e money. In fact, the history of the re~~:!t financial crisis, which doubles as a history of the rapid decline and fall of the suddenly swindled-dry American empire, reads like a Who’s Who of Goldman Sachs graduates. By now, most of us knowtbe major players. As George Bush’s lastTreasurysecretary, former Goldman CEO Henry Paulson was the architect ofthe bailout, a suspiciously self·serving plan to funnel trillions ofYour Dollars to a. handful ofbis old friends on Wan Street. Robert Rubin, Bill Clinton’s former Treasury secretary, spent 26 years at Goldman before becoming chairman of Citi~ group – which in turn got a $300 billion taxpayer bailout from Paulson. There’s John Thain, the asshole chief of Merrill Lynch who bought an $87,000 area rugfoT his office as his company was imploding; a former GoIdm”n banker, Thain enjoyed a multibillion-dollar handout from Paulwn, who used billions in taxpayerfunds to help Bank ofAmerica rescue Thain’s sorry company. And Robert Steel, the former Goldmanite head ofWachovia, scored himself and his fellow executives $225 million in goldenparachute payments as his bank was self-destructing. There’s Joshua Bolten, Bush’s chief of staffduring the bailout, and Mark Patterson, the current Treasury chief of staff, who was a Goldman lobbyistjust a year ago, and Ed Liddy, the former Goldman director whom Paulson put in charge of bailed-out insurance giant AIG, wbich forked over $13 billion to Goldman after Liddy came on board. The heads of the Canadian and Italian national banks are Goldman alums, as is the head of the World Bank, the head of the New York Stock Exchange. the last two heads of the ILLUSTRATIONS BY VICTOR JUHASZ S2· ROLI.ING STONll, JUI.Y 9-23.2009 Federal Reserve Bank of New York – which, incidentally, is now in charge ofoverseeing Goldman – not to mention … Eut then, any attempt to construct a narrative around all the former Goldmanites in influential positions quickly becomes an absurd and pointless exercise, like trying to make a list of everything. What you need to know is the big picture: If America is circling the drain, Goldman Sachs has found a way to be that drain – an extremely unfortunate loophole in tbe system of Western democratic capitalism, which never foresaw that in a Society governed passivelyby free markets and free elections, orga~ nized greed always defeats disorganized democracy. The bank’s unprecedented reach and power have enabled it to turn all of America into a giant pump-and-dump scam, manipulating whole economic sectors for years at a time, moving the dice game as this or that market collapses, and all the time gorging itself on the unseen costs that are breaking families everywhere – high gas prices, rising consumer-credit rates, halfeaten pension funds, mass layoffs, future taxes to payoff hailouts. All that money that you’re losing, it’s going somewhere, and in both a literal and a figurative sense. Goldman Sachs is where it’s going: The bank is a huge, highly sophisticated engine for converting the useful, deployed wealth of society into the least useful, most wasteful and insoluble substance on Earth – pure profit for rich individuals. They achieve this using the same playbook over and over again. The Cannula is relatively simple: Goldman positions itselfin the middle of a. specula.tive bubble, selling investments they know are crap. Then they hoover up vast sums from the middle and lowedloors ofsocietywith the aid ofa crippled and cormptstate that allows it to rewrite the rules in exchange for the relative pennies the bank throws at political patronage. Finally, when il all goes bust, leaving millions of ordinary citizens broke and starving, they begin the entire process over again, riding in to rescue us all by lend ing us back our own money at interest, selIingthemselves as men above greed,just a bunch ofreally smart guys keeping the wheels greased. They’ve been pulling this same stunt over and over since the 1920s – and now they’re preparing to do it again, creating what may be the biggest and most audacious bubble yet. Ifyou want to understand how we got into this financial crisis, you have to first understand where all the money went – and in order to understand that, you need to understand what Goldman has already gotten away with. It is a history exactly five bubbles long – including last year’s strange and seemingly inexplicable spike in the price of oi!. There were a lot oflosers in each ofthose bubbles, and in the bailout that followed. But Goldman wasn’t one ofthem. IF AMERICA IS NOW CIRCLING THE DRAIN, GOLDMAN SACHS HAS FOUND A WAY TO BE THAT DRAIN. BUBBLE #1 THE GREAT DEPRESSION G OLDMAN WASN’T ALWAYS A TOO-BIG-TO-I’AIL Wall Street behemoth, the rulhless face of killor-be-killed capitalism on steroids – just almost always. The bank was actually founded in 1869 by a German immigrant named Marcus Goldman, who built it up with his son-in-law Samuel Sachs. They were pioneers in lhe use of commercial paper, 64′ ROLLING STONB, JULY 9-23, 1009 which is just a fancy way of saying they made money lending out short-term IOUs to small-time vendors in downtown Manhattan. You can probably guess the basic plotline of Goldman’s first 100 years in business: plucky, immigrant-led investment bank beats the odds, pulls itself up by its bootstraps, makes shit10ads of money. In that ancient history there’s really only one episode that bears scrutiny now, in light of more recent events: Goldman’s disastrous foray into the speculative mania of pre-crash Wall Street in the late 19208, This great Hindenburg of financial history has a few features that might sound familiar. Eack then, the main financial tool used to bilk investors was called an ~investment trust.” Similar to modern mutual funds, the trusts took the cash of investors large and small and (theoretically, at least) invested it in a smorgasbord of Wall Street securities, though the securities and amounts were often kept bidden from the public. So a regular guy could invest $10 or $100 in a trust and feel like he was a big player. Much as in the 19905, when new vehicles like day trading and e-trading attracted reams of new suckers from the sticks who wanted to feel like big shots, investment trusts roped a new’ generation of regula.r-guy investors into the speculation game. Beginning a pattern that would repeat itself over and over aga.in, Goldman got into the investmenttrust game late, then jumped in with both feet and went hog-wild. The first effort was the Goldman Sachs Trading Corporation; the bank issued a million shares at $100 apiece, bought all those shares with its own money and then sold go percent of them to the bungry public at $104. The trading corporation then relentlessly bought shares in itself, bidding the price up further and further. Eventually it dumped part ofits holdings and sponsored a new trust, the Shenan~ doah Corporation, issuing millions more in shares in that fund – which in turn sponsored yet another trust called the Blue Ridge Corporation. In this way, each investment trust served as a front for an endless investment pyramid: Goldma.n hiding behind Goldman hiding behind Goldma.n. Ofthe 7,250,000 initial shares of Elue Ridge, 6,250,000 were actually owned by Shenandoah – which, ofcourse, was in large part owned by Goldman Trading. The end result (ask yourself if this sounds familiar) was· a daisy chain ofborrowed money, one exquisitely vulnerable to a decline in perfonnance anywhere along the line. The basic idea isn’t hard to follow. You take a dollar and borrow nine against it; then you take that $10 fund and borrow $90; then you take your $100 fund and, so long as the public is still lending, borrow and invest $900. If the last fund in the line starts to lose value, you no longer have the money to pa.y back your investors, and everyone gets massacred. In a chapter from The Great Crash, 1929 titled ~In Goldman Sachs We Trust,~ the famed economist Jobn Kenneth Galbraith held up the Blue Ridge and Shenandoah trusts as classic examples of the insanity of leverage-based investment. The trusts, he wrote, were a major cause of the market’s historic crash; in today’s dollars, the losses the hank suffered totaled $475 billion. -It is difficult not to marvel at the imagination which was implicit in this gargantuan inslUlity,” Galbraith observed, sounding like Keith Olbermann in an ascot. -Ifthere must be madness, something may be said for having it on a heroic scale,’” BUBBLE #2 TECH STOCKS F AST-PORWARD ABOUT 65 YEARS. GOLDMAN NOT only survived the crash tha.t wiped out so many of the investors it duped, it Wellt on to become the chief underwriter to the country’s wealthiest and most powerful corporations. Thanks to Sidney Weinberg. who rose from the rank ofjanitor’s assistant to head the firm, Goldman became the pioneer of the initia.l public offering, one of the principal and most lucrative means by which companies raise money. During the 1970s and 1980s, Goldman may not have been the planet,eating Death Star ofpolitical influence it is today, but it was a. top-drawer firm that had a reputation for attracting the very smartest talent on the Street. It also, oddly enough, had a reputation for relatively solid ethics and a patient approach to investment that shunned the fast buck; its executives were trained to adopt the firm’s mantra, “long-term greedy’- One former Goldman ban ker who left the firm in the early Nineties recalls seeing his superiors give up a very profitable deal on the grounds that it was a long-term loser. “We gave back money to ‘grownup’ corporate cli.ellts who had made bad deals with us.~ he says. “Everything we did was legal and fair – but ‘Iong-teon greedy’ said we didn’t want to make such a profit at the clients’ collective expense that we spoiled the marketplace. But then, something happened. It’s hard to say what it was exactly; it might have been the fact that Goldman’s cochairman in the early Nineties, Robert Rubin, followed Bill Clinton to the White House, where he directed the National &0nomic Council and eventually became Treasury secretary. While the American media fell in love with the story line of a pair of baby-boomer, Sixties-child, Fleetwood Mac yuppies nesting in the White House, it also nursed an undisguised crush on Rubin, who was hyped as without a. doubt the smartest person ever to walk the face ofthe Earth, with Newton, Einstein. Mozart and Kant running far behind. Rubin was the prototypica.l Goldman banker. He was probably born in a $4,000 suit, he had a face that seemed permanently frozen just short ofan apology for being so much smarter than you, and he ex-uded a Spack-like, emotion-neutral exterior; the only human feeling you could imagine him experiencing was a nightmare about being forced to fly coach. It became almost a national cliche that whatever Rubin thought was best for the economy – a phenomenon that reached its apex in 1999, when Rubin appeared on the cover of Time with his Treasury deputy, Larry Summers, and Fed chiefAlan Greenspan under the headline THE COMMITTEE TO SAVE TaE WORLD. And “what Rubin thought,~ mostly, was that the AmericlUl economy, and in particular the financial markets, were over-regulated and needed to be set free. During his tenure at Treasury, the Clinton White House ll made a series of moves that would have drastic consequences for the global economy – beginning with Rubin’s complete and total failure to regulate his old tirm during its first mad dash for obscene short-term profits. The basic scam in the Internet Age is pretty easy even for the financially illiterate to grasp. CQmpanieg that weren’t much more than pot-fueled i.deas scrawled on napkins by up-too-Iate bongsmokers were taken public via {POs, hyped in the media and sold to the public for megamillions. It was as if hanks like Goldman were wrapping ribbons around watermelons, tossing them out 50-story windows and opening the phones for bids. In this game you were a winner only ifyou took your money out before the melon hit the pavement. It sounds obvious now, but what the average investor didn’t know at the time was that the banks had changed the rules ofthe game, making the deals look better than they actua1\ywere. They did this by setting up what was, in reality, a two-tiered investment system – one for the insiders who knew the real numbers. and another for the lay investor who was invited to chase soaring prices the banks themselves knew were irrationa.1. While Goldman’s later pattern would be to capitalize on changes in the regulatory environment, its key innovation in thelnternet years was to abandon its own industry’s standards of quality control. “Since the Depression, there wet”e strict underwriting guidelines that Wall Street adhered to when takiDg a company public,” says one prominent hedge-fund manager. “The company had to be in business fol’ a minimum of five years, and it had to show profitability for three consecutive years. But Wall Street took these guidelines and threw them in the trash. Goldman completed the snow job by pumping up the sham stocks: “Their analysts were out there say~ ing BulIshit.com is worth $100 a share.” The problem was, nobody t£lld investors that the rules had changed. ·Everyone on the inside knew,~ the manager says. 4Bob Rubin sure as hen knew what the underwriting standards were. They’d been intact since the 1930s.” Jay Ritter, a professor of finance at the University of Florida who specializes in IPOs, says banks like Goldman knew full well that many of the public offerings they were touting would never make a dime. 4In the early Eighties. the major underwriters insisted on three years ofprofitability. Then it was one year, then it was a quarter. By the time of the Internet bubble, they were not even requiring profitability in the foreseeable future.” Goldman has denied that it changed its underwriting standards during the Internet years, but its own statistics belie the claim. Just as it did with the investment trust in the 1920s, Goldman started slow and finished crazy in the Internet years. After it took a little-known company with weak financials called Yahoo! public in 1996, once the tech boom had already begun, Goldman quickly became the IPO king ofthe Internet era. Ofthe 240 companies it took public in 1997. a third were losing money at the time ofthe IPO. In 1999, at the height ofthe boom, it took 47 compall 56 • ROLLING STONE. JULY 9-:13, 2009 nies public, iTlcluding stillborns like Webvan and eToys, investment offerings that were in many ways the modern equivalents of Blue Ridge and Shenandoah. The following year, it underwrote 18 companies in the first four months, 140 of which were money losers at the time. Ai; a leading underwriter of Internet stocks during the boom, Goldman provMed profits far more volatile than those ofits competitors: In 1999, the average Goldman IPO leapt 281 percent above its offering price, compared to the Wall Street average ofI81 percent. How did Goldman achieve such extraordinary results? One answer is that they used a practice called “laddering,U which is just a fancy way of saying they manipulated the share price of new offerings. Here’s how it works: Say you’re Goldman Sachs, and Bullshit.com comes to you and asks you to take their company public. You agree on the usual tenns: You’ll price the stock, determine how many shares should be released and take the Bullshit.com CEO on a “road show~ to schmooze investors, all in exchange for a substantial fee (typically six to seven percent of the amount raised). You then promise your best clients the right to buy big chunks of the IPO at the low offering price -let’s say Bullshit.com’s starting share price is $15 – in exchange for a promise that they will buy more shares later on the open market. That seemingly simple demand gives you inside knowledge of the IPO’s future, knowledge that wasn’t disclosed to the day-trader schmucks who only had the prospec~ tus to go by: You know that certain of your clients who bought X amount of slJares at $15 are also going to buy Y more shares at $20 or $25, virtually guaranteeing that the price is going to go to $25 and beyond. In this way, Goldman could artificially jack up the new company’s price, which of course was to the bank’s benefit – a six percent fee of a $500 million IPO is serious money. Goldman was repeatedly sued by shareholders for engaging in laddering in a variety ofInternet IPOs, including Webvan and Net2ero. The deceptive practices also caught the attention of Nicholas Maier, the syndicate manager ofCramer & Co., the hedge fund run at the time by the now-famous chattering television asshole Jim Cramer, himself a Goldman alum. Maier told the SEC that while working for Cramer between 1996 and 1998, he was repeatedly forced to engage in laddering practices during IPO deals with Goldman. “Goldman, from what I witnessed, they were the worst perpetrator,” Maier said. “Theytotally fueled the bubble. And it’s specifi· callythat kind ofbehavior that has caused the market crash. They built these stocks upon an illegal foundation – manipulated up and ultimately, it really was the small person who ended up buying in.” In 2005, Goldman agreed’to pay $40 million for its laddering violations – a puny penalty relative to the enormous profits it made. (Goldman, which has denied wrongdoing in all o(the cases it has settled, refused to respond to questions (or this story.) Another practice Goldman engaged in during the Internet boom was “spinning,” better known as bribery. Here the investment bank wouLd offer the executives ofthe newly public company shares at extra-low prices, in exchange for future underwriting business. Banks that engaged ill spinning would then undervalue the initial offering price – ensuring that those “hot~ openingprice shares it had handed out to insiders would be more likely to rise quickly, supplying bigger first-day rewards for the chosen few. So instead of Bullsrul.com opening at $20, the bank would approach the Bullshit.com CEO and offer him a million shares 58 • ROLLI NO STONlI, J UL>’ 9-’13, 2009 GOLDMAN SCAMM’ED HOUSING INVESTORS BY BETTING AGAINST ITS OWN CRAPPY MORTGAGES. of his own company at $18 in exchange for future business effectively robbing all of Bullshit’s new shareholders by diverting cash that should ha.ve gone to the company’s bottom line into the private bank account of the company’s CEO. In one case, Goldman allegedly gave a multimillion-dollar special offering to eBay CEO Meg Whitman, who later joined Goldman’s board, in exchange for future i-banking business. According to a report by the House Financial Services Committee in 2002, GoldmaTl gave special stock offerings to executives in 21 companies that it took public, including Yahoo! co-founder Jerry Yang and two of the great slithering villains of the financial-scandal a.ge – ‘!Yco’s Dennis Kozlowski and Enron’s Ken Lay. Goldman angrily denounced the report as ~an egregious distortion of the facts” – shortly before paying $110 million to settle an investigation into spinning and other manipulations launched by New York state regulators. ”The spinning of hot IPO shares was not a harmless corporate perk,” then-attorney general Eliot Spitzer said at the time. “Instead, it was an integral part of a fraudulent scheme to win new investment-banking business. Such practices conspired to tum the Internet bubble into one of the greatest financial disasters in world history: Some $5 trillion of wealth was wiped out on the NASDAQ. alone. But the real problem wasn’t the money that was lost by shareholders, it was the money gained by investment bankers. who received hefty bonuses for tamperiTlg with the market. Instead of teaching Wall Street a lesson that bubbles always deflate, the Internet years demonstrated to bankers that in the age offreely flowing capital and